Let's take a look at the big bubble picture after an eventful bubble weekend. There are 28 teams vying for about 14 bubble spots. Here is how they break down:
Bid Stealers (by resume strength)
Current Bid Stealers arranged in order of most to least likely to swap an at-large bid
- George Mason
- Utah State
- St. Mary's (CA)
- Cleveland State
- Southern Miss
- Wichita State
Second Options (by resume strength)
Current Second Options in order of strongest resumes
- Old Dominion
- Memphis
- UAB
- Butler
- Gonzaga
- Virginia Commonwealth
- Richmond
- UTEP
Mediocre Big Boys (by resume strength)
- Georgia
- Kansas State
- Cincinnati
- Florida State
- Minnesota
- Michigan State
- Alabama
- Boston College
- Virginia Tech
- Clemson
- Baylor
- Colorado State
- Nebraska
- Penn State
Off the Bubble
- Duquesne
- New Mexico
- Missouri State
- Colorado
- Washington - tournament lock
- Oklahoma State
- Washington State
Important links, the numbers chart and Tuesday bubble games after the jump.
Some Linkage ActionCracked Sidewalks goes after the Top 200 record bubble criteria. This is something I've been thinking about a lot lately. Why should a team get significantly more credit for beating a marginally better cupcake? What's the difference between a #195 RPI rumdum and a #252 RPI rumdum?
Andy Glockner has MU in as a 12 seed, playing Arizona in Denver with Vanderbilt waiting in the second round.
Braketology 101 has MU in as an 11 seed playing Missouri in Denver with BYU waiting in the second round
Lunardi has MU in as an 11 seed playing Xavier in Charlotte with Georgetown waiting in the second round
Palm has MU out of the tournament as his third team out. MU is behind such luminaries as Dayton, Drexel, Colorado St, UAB, UAB, VCU and Michigan. Palm is a big advocate of Top 200 record...go figure.
The Chart
|
Team |
RPI |
SOS |
Top 25 |
Top 100 |
Best Win |
Worst Loss |
|
Alabama |
79 |
156 |
1-2 |
3-4 |
UK 15 |
Iowa 161 N |
|
Baylor |
76 |
72 |
0-2 |
4-6 |
@A&M 26 |
TT 136 |
|
BC |
45 |
15 |
0-4 |
7-9 |
A&M 26 N |
Yale 165 |
|
Butler |
49 |
79 |
0-3 |
5-4 |
ClvSt x2 34 |
@YtwnSt 269 |
|
Cincy |
38 |
119 |
3-6 |
5-6 |
@StJohn 12 |
@Nova 24 |
|
Clemson |
67 |
100 |
0-2 |
7-7 |
BC 45 |
@UVa 146 |
|
ClevSt |
34 |
117 |
0-1 |
3-5 |
Valpo 50 |
@Det 158 |
|
ColoSt |
46 |
45 |
0-3 |
5-6 |
@UNLV 27 |
SHousSt 196 |
|
FSU |
48 |
114 |
2-4 |
6-6 |
Duke 6 |
@Aub 271 |
|
GMU |
20 |
64 |
0-0 |
9-4 |
ODU 29 |
Woff 147 N |
|
Gonzaga |
72 |
95 |
1-2 |
6-7 |
Xav 23 |
@SClara 167 |
|
KanSt |
30 |
7 |
1-3 |
7-9 |
KU 1 |
CU x2 89 |
|
Marq |
66 |
35 |
3-10 |
5-11 |
ND 10 |
Gonz 72 N |
|
Memphis |
36 |
56 |
0-2 |
9-5 |
UAB x2 32 |
@SMU 194 |
|
MichSt |
42 |
6 |
1-7 |
8-10 |
Wisc 18 |
@Iowa 161 |
|
Minn |
39 |
31 |
3-4 |
5-7 |
Purdue 8 |
@Ind 171 |
|
Nebraska |
61 |
76 |
1-3 |
6-6 |
Tex 9 |
David 150 N |
|
ODU |
29 |
66 |
2-2 |
9-5 |
GMU 20 |
@Del 140 |
|
Rich |
67 |
166 |
1-1 |
4-5 |
Pur 9 N |
GTech 163 N |
|
StMarys |
47 |
140 |
1-4 |
2-5 |
StJohn 12 |
@USD 311 |
|
UAB |
32 |
48 |
0-1 |
7-6 |
UTEP 51 |
@ASU 148 |
|
UGA |
37 |
31 |
1-6 |
5-8 |
UK 15 |
Temp 33 N |
|
USM |
40 |
105 |
0-0 |
6-5 |
@UAB 32 |
@SMU 194 |
|
UtahSt |
21 |
107 |
0-2 |
1-2 |
@StMary 47 |
@Idaho 145 |
|
UTEP |
51 |
131 |
0-1 |
3-4 |
Mich 58 N |
GTech 155 N |
|
VCU |
57 |
136 |
0-1 |
6-5 |
@ODU 29 |
@GaSt 218 |
|
VT |
64 |
120 |
0-2 |
7-5 |
FSU 48 |
@GTech 155 |
|
WichSt |
55 |
108 |
0-2 |
2-5 |
Tulsa 86 |
SIU 208 |
Tuesday Games
|
RPI |
SOS |
Top 25 |
Top 100 |
Best Win |
Worst Loss |
|
|
Houston |
213 |
|||||
|
Memphis |
36 |
56 |
0-2 |
9-5 |
UAB x2 32 |
@SMU 194 |
|
Memphis can’t afford another stumble after getting smoked at Rice on Saturday |
||||||
|
RPI |
SOS |
Top 25 |
Top 100 |
Best Win |
Worst Loss |
|
|
Mich St |
42 |
6 |
1-7 |
8-10 |
Wisc 18 |
@Iowa 161 |
|
Minn |
39 |
31 |
3-4 |
5-7 |
Purdue 8 |
@Ind 171 |
|
Hard to know who to root for here. When in doubt, root against the struggling team |
||||||
|
RPI |
SOS |
Top 25 |
Top 100 |
Best Win |
Worst Loss |
|
|
Loy-NO |
NA |
|||||
|
USM |
40 |
105 |
0-0 |
6-5 |
@UAB 32 |
@SMU 194 |
|
Loyola is a DII school, so this game doesn’t officially count, but USM is dead if they lose |
||||||
|
RPI |
SOS |
Top 25 |
Top 100 |
Best Win |
Worst Loss |
|
|
VT |
64 |
120 |
0-2 |
7-5 |
FSU 48 |
@GTech155 |
|
Wake |
245 |
|||||
|
Wake is in DePaul and Auburn territory for ineptitude. A VT loss would be deadly |
||||||
Monday Recap
|
Team |
Score |
Notes |
|
UCF |
74 |
UTEP fell from first to third in CUSA with the loss. They have a quick turnaround with a game at ECU tomorrow plus Memphis at home on Sat |
|
UTEP |
68 |